NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TXSO MVSU
Points 74.3 55.0
Total Points   129.3
Points From 2-Pointers 35.6 28.7
Points From 3-Pointers 22.6 13.3
Points From Free Throws 16.0 13.0
Shooting TXSO MVSU
Field Goals Made 25.4 18.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.2 51.8
Field Goal % 45.2% 36.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 14.4
2 Pointers Attempted 34.5 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 40.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 4.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 16.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 27.1%
Free Throws Made 16.0 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 19.7
Free Throw % 73.6% 66.0%
Ball Control TXSO MVSU
Rebounds 39.0 31.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.5 22.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 9.1
Turnovers 10.5 14.0
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.2
Steals 7.7 5.8
Fouls 16.0 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Miss Val St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TXSO MVSU
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 70.1 64.3
% of Possessions with TXSO MVSU
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 20.5%
Player Fouled 21.3% 23.1%
Turnover 15.2% 20.3%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 11.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken TXSO MVSU
Shot Blocked 4.3% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 33.5% 24.9%