NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TXSO ORE
Points 62.3 80.5
Total Points   142.8
Points From 2-Pointers 30.4 40.1
Points From 3-Pointers 20.0 21.9
Points From Free Throws 11.9 18.4
Shooting TXSO ORE
Field Goals Made 21.9 27.4
Field Goals Attempted 58.9 56.9
Field Goal % 37.2% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 36.5 34.0
2 Point Shooting % 41.7% 59.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 22.4 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 29.8% 31.9%
Free Throws Made 11.9 18.4
Free Throws Attempted 16.1 25.3
Free Throw % 73.6% 72.9%
Ball Control TXSO ORE
Rebounds 31.6 40.8
Rebounds - Defensive 22.7 30.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 10.8
Turnovers 11.4 9.4
Blocked Shots 3.0 4.2
Steals 5.0 6.3
Fouls 18.1 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: Oregon

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TXSO ORE
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.5 72.4
% of Possessions with TXSO ORE
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 41.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.4% 27.6%
Player Fouled 18.6% 25.4%
Turnover 16.1% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken TXSO ORE
Shot Blocked 7.4% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 32.2%