NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LSU SCAR
Points 73.0 74.0
Total Points   147.0
Points From 2-Pointers 39.8 35.2
Points From 3-Pointers 18.8 25.4
Points From Free Throws 14.4 13.4
Shooting LSU SCAR
Field Goals Made 26.2 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 59.3
Field Goal % 45.9% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 39.5 33.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 52.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 17.5 25.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 14.4 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 19.1
Free Throw % 73.3% 70.6%
Ball Control LSU SCAR
Rebounds 34.6 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 10.5
Turnovers 9.9 9.5
Blocked Shots 4.4 3.8
Steals 5.9 5.4
Fouls 14.1 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: LSU

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LSU SCAR
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.7 70.6
% of Possessions with LSU SCAR
2 Point Attempt 49.4% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 21.9% 31.2%
Player Fouled 20.3% 20.2%
Turnover 14.2% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken LSU SCAR
Shot Blocked 6.5% 7.9%
Offensive Rebound 26.7% 29.0%