NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TXSO FLA
Points 67.0 89.2
Total Points   156.1
Points From 2-Pointers 35.2 43.0
Points From 3-Pointers 17.2 23.2
Points From Free Throws 14.6 23.0
Shooting TXSO FLA
Field Goals Made 23.3 29.2
Field Goals Attempted 63.6 61.2
Field Goal % 36.7% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 21.5
2 Pointers Attempted 43.7 38.1
2 Point Shooting % 40.3% 56.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 19.9 23.1
3 Point Shooting % 28.9% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 14.6 23.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 31.4
Free Throw % 73.6% 73.2%
Ball Control TXSO FLA
Rebounds 31.8 47.6
Rebounds - Defensive 22.1 32.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 14.8
Turnovers 10.4 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.9 5.5
Steals 6.0 6.0
Fouls 18.8 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Florida

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TXSO FLA
Total Possessions 75.5
Effective Scoring Chances 74.8 80.8
% of Possessions with TXSO FLA
2 Point Attempt 50.0% 41.7%
3 Point Attempt 22.7% 25.2%
Player Fouled 19.6% 24.9%
Turnover 13.8% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken TXSO FLA
Shot Blocked 9.1% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 40.2%