NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JKST TULN
Points 72.1 84.9
Total Points   157.0
Points From 2-Pointers 34.8 39.9
Points From 3-Pointers 23.0 25.5
Points From Free Throws 14.3 19.5
Shooting JKST TULN
Field Goals Made 25.1 28.5
Field Goals Attempted 65.4 54.9
Field Goal % 38.3% 51.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 42.8 32.9
2 Point Shooting % 40.7% 60.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 22.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 38.6%
Free Throws Made 14.3 19.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 27.3
Free Throw % 71.9% 71.6%
Ball Control JKST TULN
Rebounds 38.3 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 29.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.8 6.3
Turnovers 11.2 10.9
Blocked Shots 3.7 4.3
Steals 6.5 6.7
Fouls 17.4 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Jackson St

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JKST TULN
Total Possessions 75.3
Effective Scoring Chances 77.8 70.7
% of Possessions with JKST TULN
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 39.6%
3 Point Attempt 24.9% 26.5%
Player Fouled 18.2% 23.1%
Turnover 14.9% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken JKST TULN
Shot Blocked 8.0% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 31.9% 20.3%