NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM TULN
Points 86.2 79.3
Total Points   165.6
Points From 2-Pointers 38.7 35.9
Points From 3-Pointers 29.6 26.4
Points From Free Throws 17.9 17.0
Shooting MEM TULN
Field Goals Made 29.2 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 64.2 59.0
Field Goal % 45.5% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 34.8
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.9 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 27.3 24.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 17.9 17.0
Free Throws Attempted 24.7 23.8
Free Throw % 72.7% 71.6%
Ball Control MEM TULN
Rebounds 42.0 32.2
Rebounds - Defensive 28.6 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.4 7.0
Turnovers 11.5 12.1
Blocked Shots 5.1 4.3
Steals 7.6 6.7
Fouls 17.5 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM TULN
Total Possessions 77.5
Effective Scoring Chances 79.4 72.5
% of Possessions with MEM TULN
2 Point Attempt 39.9% 40.2%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 27.9%
Player Fouled 21.0% 22.5%
Turnover 14.8% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MEM TULN
Shot Blocked 7.4% 8.1%
Offensive Rebound 34.7% 19.7%