NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRIN STJOE
Points 72.8 76.7
Total Points   149.5
Points From 2-Pointers 30.0 37.9
Points From 3-Pointers 30.5 28.8
Points From Free Throws 12.2 10.1
Shooting PRIN STJOE
Field Goals Made 25.2 28.5
Field Goals Attempted 58.6 57.3
Field Goal % 43.0% 49.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 27.8 30.1
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 62.9%
3 Pointers Made 10.2 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 30.8 27.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 12.2 10.1
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 14.0
Free Throw % 78.3% 71.9%
Ball Control PRIN STJOE
Rebounds 30.6 35.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 7.8
Turnovers 7.7 9.6
Blocked Shots 1.3 3.1
Steals 5.4 4.7
Fouls 12.3 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: St Josephs

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRIN STJOE
Total Possessions 68.1
Effective Scoring Chances 67.7 66.3
% of Possessions with PRIN STJOE
2 Point Attempt 36.3% 39.4%
3 Point Attempt 40.2% 35.6%
Player Fouled 20.2% 18.0%
Turnover 11.3% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRIN STJOE
Shot Blocked 5.4% 2.3%
Offensive Rebound 20.7% 25.0%