NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JKST TCU
Points 63.4 88.5
Total Points   151.8
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 46.1
Points From 3-Pointers 16.1 25.0
Points From Free Throws 13.4 17.3
Shooting JKST TCU
Field Goals Made 22.3 31.4
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 60.0
Field Goal % 38.4% 52.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 23.1
2 Pointers Attempted 40.7 39.6
2 Point Shooting % 41.5% 58.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 17.4 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 40.7%
Free Throws Made 13.4 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 23.8
Free Throw % 71.9% 72.7%
Ball Control JKST TCU
Rebounds 29.2 41.4
Rebounds - Defensive 19.0 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 13.4
Turnovers 13.9 11.4
Blocked Shots 3.2 5.0
Steals 6.3 8.1
Fouls 15.2 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: TX Christian

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JKST TCU
Total Possessions 73.2
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 75.2
% of Possessions with JKST TCU
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 20.3% 23.3%
Player Fouled 18.9% 20.8%
Turnover 19.0% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 11.1% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken JKST TCU
Shot Blocked 8.4% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 41.4%