NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GRAM ALST
Points 67.8 62.0
Total Points   129.9
Points From 2-Pointers 32.8 30.4
Points From 3-Pointers 17.9 19.4
Points From Free Throws 17.2 12.2
Shooting GRAM ALST
Field Goals Made 22.4 21.7
Field Goals Attempted 51.8 63.9
Field Goal % 43.2% 33.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 15.2
2 Pointers Attempted 35.7 39.7
2 Point Shooting % 46.0% 38.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 16.1 24.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 26.6%
Free Throws Made 17.2 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 24.3 16.9
Free Throw % 70.7% 72.4%
Ball Control GRAM ALST
Rebounds 39.8 37.8
Rebounds - Defensive 30.9 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 13.5
Turnovers 12.8 9.4
Blocked Shots 4.1 4.4
Steals 5.3 7.3
Fouls 12.6 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Grambling St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GRAM ALST
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 66.4 74.4
% of Possessions with GRAM ALST
2 Point Attempt 44.0% 46.5%
3 Point Attempt 19.9% 28.3%
Player Fouled 22.5% 18.0%
Turnover 18.2% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 10.4% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken GRAM ALST
Shot Blocked 7.1% 8.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.9% 30.4%