NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOWS USA
Points 72.7 65.8
Total Points   138.6
Points From 2-Pointers 39.9 31.9
Points From 3-Pointers 18.1 21.9
Points From Free Throws 14.7 12.1
Shooting TOWS USA
Field Goals Made 26.0 23.2
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 55.6
Field Goal % 44.6% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 15.9
2 Pointers Attempted 38.3 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 52.1% 44.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 19.9 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 30.3% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 14.7 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 16.2
Free Throw % 66.3% 74.7%
Ball Control TOWS USA
Rebounds 43.1 27.5
Rebounds - Defensive 28.2 21.6
Rebounds - Offensive 14.9 5.8
Turnovers 10.6 10.1
Blocked Shots 5.3 2.7
Steals 5.9 5.5
Fouls 14.2 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Towson

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOWS USA
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 72.8 64.2
% of Possessions with TOWS USA
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 23.6% 25.8%
Player Fouled 20.0% 20.7%
Turnover 15.5% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOWS USA
Shot Blocked 5.0% 9.3%
Offensive Rebound 40.8% 17.1%