NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRIN FDU
Points 85.7 66.3
Total Points   152.0
Points From 2-Pointers 35.4 34.1
Points From 3-Pointers 35.4 21.1
Points From Free Throws 14.9 11.1
Shooting PRIN FDU
Field Goals Made 29.5 24.1
Field Goals Attempted 58.6 58.3
Field Goal % 50.4% 41.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 27.8 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 63.6% 48.3%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 30.8 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 38.4% 30.6%
Free Throws Made 14.9 11.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 16.0
Free Throw % 78.3% 69.4%
Ball Control PRIN FDU
Rebounds 37.1 31.4
Rebounds - Defensive 29.6 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 7.5
Turnovers 8.5 10.2
Blocked Shots 1.2 1.7
Steals 5.4 4.9
Fouls 13.2 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Princeton

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRIN FDU
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 68.4
% of Possessions with PRIN FDU
2 Point Attempt 35.1% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 38.8% 29.0%
Player Fouled 23.9% 18.5%
Turnover 11.9% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRIN FDU
Shot Blocked 3.0% 2.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 20.1%