NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JKST CALBA
Points 64.7 73.5
Total Points   138.2
Points From 2-Pointers 39.3 33.0
Points From 3-Pointers 14.0 25.3
Points From Free Throws 11.4 15.1
Shooting JKST CALBA
Field Goals Made 24.3 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 59.3 57.1
Field Goal % 40.9% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 45.7 33.1
2 Point Shooting % 42.9% 49.9%
3 Pointers Made 4.7 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 13.6 24.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 11.4 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 15.9 21.7
Free Throw % 71.9% 69.6%
Ball Control JKST CALBA
Rebounds 32.5 40.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.2 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 12.5
Turnovers 9.2 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.6 2.9
Steals 5.6 3.6
Fouls 14.9 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Cal Baptist

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JKST CALBA
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.1 70.8
% of Possessions with JKST CALBA
2 Point Attempt 57.6% 39.9%
3 Point Attempt 17.2% 29.0%
Player Fouled 19.2% 21.6%
Turnover 13.3% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken JKST CALBA
Shot Blocked 5.1% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 35.1%