NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GRAM SELA
Points 67.4 65.2
Total Points   132.7
Points From 2-Pointers 35.8 29.3
Points From 3-Pointers 19.4 22.0
Points From Free Throws 12.3 13.9
Shooting GRAM SELA
Field Goals Made 24.4 22.0
Field Goals Attempted 54.7 54.1
Field Goal % 44.5% 40.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 14.6
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 32.6
2 Point Shooting % 48.6% 45.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 17.9 21.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 12.3 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 18.8
Free Throw % 70.7% 74.0%
Ball Control GRAM SELA
Rebounds 32.3 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 11.3
Turnovers 10.9 12.7
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.0
Steals 6.8 6.2
Fouls 13.4 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: Grambling St

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GRAM SELA
Total Possessions 67.8
Effective Scoring Chances 65.8 66.4
% of Possessions with GRAM SELA
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 40.6%
3 Point Attempt 23.1% 26.8%
Player Fouled 19.5% 19.7%
Turnover 16.1% 18.7%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 10.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken GRAM SELA
Shot Blocked 3.7% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.9% 32.5%