NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GRAM LMU
Points 64.3 71.7
Total Points   136.0
Points From 2-Pointers 37.9 35.6
Points From 3-Pointers 13.9 23.5
Points From Free Throws 12.4 12.6
Shooting GRAM LMU
Field Goals Made 23.6 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 57.5
Field Goal % 41.7% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 43.8 34.9
2 Point Shooting % 43.3% 51.0%
3 Pointers Made 4.6 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 12.8 22.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 12.4 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 17.1
Free Throw % 70.7% 73.7%
Ball Control GRAM LMU
Rebounds 30.8 39.1
Rebounds - Defensive 22.2 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 11.9
Turnovers 7.5 9.7
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.9
Steals 5.3 3.2
Fouls 12.9 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Loyola Mymt

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GRAM LMU
Total Possessions 66.0
Effective Scoring Chances 67.1 68.2
% of Possessions with GRAM LMU
2 Point Attempt 57.9% 44.0%
3 Point Attempt 17.0% 28.5%
Player Fouled 19.4% 19.6%
Turnover 11.4% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 4.8% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken GRAM LMU
Shot Blocked 5.2% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 34.8%