NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIZZ WVU
Points 74.8 74.5
Total Points   149.3
Points From 2-Pointers 33.5 30.3
Points From 3-Pointers 27.2 25.0
Points From Free Throws 14.1 19.2
Shooting MIZZ WVU
Field Goals Made 25.8 23.5
Field Goals Attempted 58.6 52.3
Field Goal % 44.1% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 15.2
2 Pointers Attempted 31.0 30.6
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 49.5%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 27.6 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 38.4%
Free Throws Made 14.1 19.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 27.2
Free Throw % 78.9% 70.4%
Ball Control MIZZ WVU
Rebounds 31.7 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 10.2
Turnovers 9.9 12.2
Blocked Shots 4.9 2.6
Steals 7.8 4.1
Fouls 19.2 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: W Virginia

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIZZ WVU
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 68.7
% of Possessions with MIZZ WVU
2 Point Attempt 38.5% 36.9%
3 Point Attempt 34.3% 26.2%
Player Fouled 20.5% 27.2%
Turnover 14.0% 17.3%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 11.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIZZ WVU
Shot Blocked 5.1% 8.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 30.8%