NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIZZ XAV
Points 74.1 79.5
Total Points   153.6
Points From 2-Pointers 40.8 35.5
Points From 3-Pointers 19.0 22.5
Points From Free Throws 14.3 21.5
Shooting MIZZ XAV
Field Goals Made 26.7 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 57.1
Field Goal % 44.9% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 20.4 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 39.0 36.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 48.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 30.7% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 14.3 21.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 28.4
Free Throw % 78.9% 75.8%
Ball Control MIZZ XAV
Rebounds 30.9 39.2
Rebounds - Defensive 22.5 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 12.8
Turnovers 10.4 11.5
Blocked Shots 6.0 2.7
Steals 6.6 5.9
Fouls 18.9 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Missouri

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIZZ XAV
Total Possessions 72.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.7 74.0
% of Possessions with MIZZ XAV
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 41.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.1% 23.3%
Player Fouled 21.4% 25.9%
Turnover 14.3% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIZZ XAV
Shot Blocked 4.8% 10.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 36.2%