NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM ECU
Points 78.8 71.3
Total Points   150.1
Points From 2-Pointers 36.9 33.2
Points From 3-Pointers 26.3 25.2
Points From Free Throws 15.6 12.9
Shooting MEM ECU
Field Goals Made 27.2 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.5 61.2
Field Goal % 47.3% 40.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 16.6
2 Pointers Attempted 31.9 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 57.9% 46.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 25.7 25.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 15.6 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 18.8
Free Throw % 72.7% 68.6%
Ball Control MEM ECU
Rebounds 38.1 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 21.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 13.0
Turnovers 12.1 11.4
Blocked Shots 4.2 3.4
Steals 6.9 7.2
Fouls 14.0 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: E Carolina

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM ECU
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 71.2 73.0
% of Possessions with MEM ECU
2 Point Attempt 37.6% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 30.3% 29.9%
Player Fouled 21.1% 19.7%
Turnover 17.0% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MEM ECU
Shot Blocked 5.7% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 35.5% 33.2%