NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LSU VCU
Points 67.6 71.0
Total Points   138.6
Points From 2-Pointers 30.7 29.3
Points From 3-Pointers 20.8 26.6
Points From Free Throws 16.1 15.1
Shooting LSU VCU
Field Goals Made 22.3 23.5
Field Goals Attempted 55.3 54.7
Field Goal % 40.3% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 14.7
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 29.2
2 Point Shooting % 44.9% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 21.1 25.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 16.1 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 19.5
Free Throw % 73.3% 77.2%
Ball Control LSU VCU
Rebounds 35.0 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 8.6
Turnovers 11.4 11.6
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.2
Steals 7.4 7.5
Fouls 14.4 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: LSU

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LSU VCU
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.6 67.0
% of Possessions with LSU VCU
2 Point Attempt 41.9% 36.8%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 32.0%
Player Fouled 20.8% 20.6%
Turnover 16.3% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 10.8% 10.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken LSU VCU
Shot Blocked 7.7% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.7% 25.5%