NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TNST FOR
Points 64.7 73.8
Total Points   138.4
Points From 2-Pointers 30.3 32.7
Points From 3-Pointers 13.9 21.6
Points From Free Throws 20.5 19.4
Shooting TNST FOR
Field Goals Made 19.8 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 48.2 56.9
Field Goal % 41.1% 41.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 34.1 33.7
2 Point Shooting % 44.4% 48.6%
3 Pointers Made 4.6 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 14.1 23.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 31.1%
Free Throws Made 20.5 19.4
Free Throws Attempted 26.9 28.9
Free Throw % 76.1% 67.2%
Ball Control TNST FOR
Rebounds 32.0 38.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 14.0
Turnovers 15.6 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.1 6.3
Steals 5.2 8.8
Fouls 19.1 19.1

Playing Style Advantage: Fordham

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TNST FOR
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 63.8 75.2
% of Possessions with TNST FOR
2 Point Attempt 41.7% 38.5%
3 Point Attempt 17.2% 26.5%
Player Fouled 26.5% 26.5%
Turnover 21.6% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 12.1% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken TNST FOR
Shot Blocked 11.2% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.8% 36.1%