NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM MISS
Points 77.8 80.8
Total Points   158.5
Points From 2-Pointers 37.5 37.2
Points From 3-Pointers 23.6 29.3
Points From Free Throws 16.7 14.2
Shooting MEM MISS
Field Goals Made 26.6 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 61.3 62.4
Field Goal % 43.4% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 38.8 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 48.2% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 9.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.4 25.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 38.2%
Free Throws Made 16.7 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 23.0 19.5
Free Throw % 72.7% 73.0%
Ball Control MEM MISS
Rebounds 38.0 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 13.7 12.5
Turnovers 12.2 11.2
Blocked Shots 3.0 6.7
Steals 7.1 7.2
Fouls 15.1 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Mississippi

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM MISS
Total Possessions 73.5
Effective Scoring Chances 75.0 74.8
% of Possessions with MEM MISS
2 Point Attempt 43.2% 42.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 29.3%
Player Fouled 20.6% 20.5%
Turnover 16.6% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MEM MISS
Shot Blocked 10.9% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 36.6% 34.0%