NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIZZ MISS
Points 71.9 78.3
Total Points   150.1
Points From 2-Pointers 35.5 34.5
Points From 3-Pointers 21.0 24.6
Points From Free Throws 15.3 19.2
Shooting MIZZ MISS
Field Goals Made 24.8 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 56.1
Field Goal % 43.0% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.2 34.7
2 Point Shooting % 49.1% 49.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 21.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 15.3 19.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 26.3
Free Throw % 78.9% 73.0%
Ball Control MIZZ MISS
Rebounds 32.4 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 22.3 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 12.4
Turnovers 11.3 10.4
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.4
Steals 6.4 6.8
Fouls 17.6 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Mississippi

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIZZ MISS
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 69.3 72.5
% of Possessions with MIZZ MISS
2 Point Attempt 43.9% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.1% 25.5%
Player Fouled 21.2% 25.0%
Turnover 16.1% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIZZ MISS
Shot Blocked 8.0% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 29.2% 35.7%