NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TNST TTU
Points 63.5 82.4
Total Points   145.9
Points From 2-Pointers 33.1 36.6
Points From 3-Pointers 17.4 23.6
Points From Free Throws 13.0 22.2
Shooting TNST TTU
Field Goals Made 22.3 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 54.5 54.3
Field Goal % 41.0% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 34.9 32.6
2 Point Shooting % 47.3% 56.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 19.6 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 29.7% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 13.0 22.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 28.2
Free Throw % 76.1% 78.5%
Ball Control TNST TTU
Rebounds 29.1 36.6
Rebounds - Defensive 20.3 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 11.2
Turnovers 13.3 9.5
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.0
Steals 4.7 6.9
Fouls 18.9 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Texas Tech

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TNST TTU
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 65.4 71.6
% of Possessions with TNST TTU
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 39.7%
3 Point Attempt 24.5% 26.3%
Player Fouled 19.9% 27.1%
Turnover 19.1% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken TNST TTU
Shot Blocked 5.7% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.7% 35.5%