NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JKST ILST
Points 63.5 73.4
Total Points   136.9
Points From 2-Pointers 35.0 35.7
Points From 3-Pointers 17.6 22.3
Points From Free Throws 10.9 15.4
Shooting JKST ILST
Field Goals Made 23.4 25.3
Field Goals Attempted 59.1 54.0
Field Goal % 39.6% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 39.8 30.8
2 Point Shooting % 44.0% 58.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 19.3 23.2
3 Point Shooting % 30.4% 32.1%
Free Throws Made 10.9 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 15.1 21.1
Free Throw % 71.9% 73.0%
Ball Control JKST ILST
Rebounds 33.0 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 21.7 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 10.1
Turnovers 10.1 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.7
Steals 5.5 5.1
Fouls 15.6 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Jackson St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JKST ILST
Total Possessions 67.7
Effective Scoring Chances 68.9 67.1
% of Possessions with JKST ILST
2 Point Attempt 49.7% 38.9%
3 Point Attempt 24.1% 29.3%
Player Fouled 19.2% 23.1%
Turnover 14.9% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken JKST ILST
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 29.8% 31.9%