NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIZZ WICH
Points 73.7 71.7
Total Points   145.4
Points From 2-Pointers 38.2 37.7
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 18.9
Points From Free Throws 13.7 15.0
Shooting MIZZ WICH
Field Goals Made 26.4 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 60.7 58.3
Field Goal % 43.5% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.1 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 39.4
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 47.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 23.1 18.9
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 13.7 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 21.5
Free Throw % 78.9% 69.7%
Ball Control MIZZ WICH
Rebounds 33.6 38.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 12.4
Turnovers 9.4 12.0
Blocked Shots 5.5 3.1
Steals 8.0 5.7
Fouls 15.0 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Missouri

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIZZ WICH
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 71.2 71.4
% of Possessions with MIZZ WICH
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 22.0%
Player Fouled 20.1% 21.1%
Turnover 13.3% 16.9%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 11.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIZZ WICH
Shot Blocked 5.4% 9.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.7% 34.1%