NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TXSO TST
Points 66.5 75.8
Total Points   142.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.8 39.4
Points From 3-Pointers 19.3 19.4
Points From Free Throws 12.3 17.0
Shooting TXSO TST
Field Goals Made 23.8 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.4 58.5
Field Goal % 40.1% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 19.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.1 37.7
2 Point Shooting % 45.7% 52.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 21.3 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 30.1% 31.0%
Free Throws Made 12.3 17.0
Free Throws Attempted 16.8 22.4
Free Throw % 73.6% 75.8%
Ball Control TXSO TST
Rebounds 35.6 37.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 10.9
Turnovers 12.0 9.6
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.6
Steals 5.0 7.0
Fouls 16.1 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Tarleton St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TXSO TST
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.1 72.3
% of Possessions with TXSO TST
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 25.0%
Player Fouled 19.7% 22.8%
Turnover 16.9% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken TXSO TST
Shot Blocked 6.2% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.7% 31.0%