NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PAC USD
Points 66.7 80.7
Total Points   147.4
Points From 2-Pointers 31.3 40.3
Points From 3-Pointers 18.1 23.3
Points From Free Throws 17.3 17.2
Shooting PAC USD
Field Goals Made 21.7 27.9
Field Goals Attempted 51.6 57.3
Field Goal % 42.0% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 32.1 36.0
2 Point Shooting % 48.6% 56.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 19.4 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 17.3 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 26.6 23.8
Free Throw % 65.1% 72.1%
Ball Control PAC USD
Rebounds 29.1 39.3
Rebounds - Defensive 22.5 28.5
Rebounds - Offensive 6.5 10.8
Turnovers 12.3 11.2
Blocked Shots 2.2 4.3
Steals 6.1 6.8
Fouls 15.4 19.6

Playing Style Advantage: San Diego

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PAC USD
Total Possessions 72.8
Effective Scoring Chances 67.1 72.4
% of Possessions with PAC USD
2 Point Attempt 39.6% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 24.0% 25.2%
Player Fouled 26.9% 21.1%
Turnover 16.9% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken PAC USD
Shot Blocked 7.6% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 18.7% 32.3%