NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIZZ TENN
Points 62.3 82.8
Total Points   145.1
Points From 2-Pointers 26.6 32.8
Points From 3-Pointers 20.3 29.0
Points From Free Throws 15.4 21.0
Shooting MIZZ TENN
Field Goals Made 20.1 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 55.4 58.4
Field Goal % 36.2% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 13.3 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 31.7 31.9
2 Point Shooting % 41.9% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 9.7
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 26.4
3 Point Shooting % 28.5% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 15.4 21.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 27.9
Free Throw % 78.9% 75.4%
Ball Control MIZZ TENN
Rebounds 30.0 43.5
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 14.6
Turnovers 12.3 9.7
Blocked Shots 2.7 4.0
Steals 6.1 7.1
Fouls 18.6 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Tennessee

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIZZ TENN
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 67.2 76.0
% of Possessions with MIZZ TENN
2 Point Attempt 39.1% 36.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.3% 30.4%
Player Fouled 22.1% 26.2%
Turnover 17.3% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIZZ TENN
Shot Blocked 7.0% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 40.3%