NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PAC HAW
Points 63.0 80.1
Total Points   143.2
Points From 2-Pointers 36.4 37.5
Points From 3-Pointers 13.0 24.9
Points From Free Throws 13.7 17.7
Shooting PAC HAW
Field Goals Made 22.5 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 53.0 52.9
Field Goal % 42.5% 51.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 38.7 29.8
2 Point Shooting % 47.1% 63.0%
3 Pointers Made 4.3 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 14.4 23.2
3 Point Shooting % 30.2% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 13.7 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 24.4
Free Throw % 65.1% 72.5%
Ball Control PAC HAW
Rebounds 26.4 38.2
Rebounds - Defensive 21.4 29.8
Rebounds - Offensive 5.0 8.5
Turnovers 9.8 10.5
Blocked Shots 1.8 2.5
Steals 5.0 4.0
Fouls 16.9 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Pacific

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PAC HAW
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 65.3 68.1
% of Possessions with PAC HAW
2 Point Attempt 50.8% 37.5%
3 Point Attempt 18.9% 29.2%
Player Fouled 25.6% 24.1%
Turnover 14.0% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken PAC HAW
Shot Blocked 4.7% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 14.3% 28.3%