NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AUB UK
Points 84.4 77.1
Total Points   161.6
Points From 2-Pointers 38.9 35.9
Points From 3-Pointers 26.4 20.9
Points From Free Throws 19.2 20.2
Shooting AUB UK
Field Goals Made 28.2 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 63.2 62.0
Field Goal % 44.6% 40.3%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 39.0 42.5
2 Point Shooting % 49.8% 42.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 24.2 19.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 19.2 20.2
Free Throws Attempted 25.7 25.9
Free Throw % 74.8% 78.2%
Ball Control AUB UK
Rebounds 40.1 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 28.9 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 10.7
Turnovers 9.9 10.7
Blocked Shots 5.6 5.0
Steals 6.4 6.8
Fouls 17.3 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Auburn

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AUB UK
Total Possessions 76.9
Effective Scoring Chances 78.2 76.9
% of Possessions with AUB UK
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 26.9% 21.7%
Player Fouled 22.1% 22.5%
Turnover 12.9% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken AUB UK
Shot Blocked 8.3% 9.0%
Offensive Rebound 29.4% 27.1%