NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JKST COOK
Points 71.6 72.4
Total Points   143.9
Points From 2-Pointers 33.6 38.1
Points From 3-Pointers 18.5 18.5
Points From Free Throws 19.5 15.8
Shooting JKST COOK
Field Goals Made 23.0 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 55.2 57.4
Field Goal % 41.6% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 37.3 39.4
2 Point Shooting % 45.0% 48.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 17.9 18.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 19.5 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 27.1 20.8
Free Throw % 71.9% 75.9%
Ball Control JKST COOK
Rebounds 37.8 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 10.0
Turnovers 13.4 12.4
Blocked Shots 3.0 4.0
Steals 7.9 8.3
Fouls 14.4 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Jackson St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JKST COOK
Total Possessions 73.0
Effective Scoring Chances 72.4 70.5
% of Possessions with JKST COOK
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 20.5% 21.4%
Player Fouled 23.4% 19.8%
Turnover 18.4% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 11.4% 10.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken JKST COOK
Shot Blocked 7.0% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 35.1% 28.5%