NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLEM ARIZ
Points 74.4 78.6
Total Points   153.0
Points From 2-Pointers 37.1 38.8
Points From 3-Pointers 24.6 22.7
Points From Free Throws 12.7 17.0
Shooting CLEM ARIZ
Field Goals Made 26.8 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 61.4 61.6
Field Goal % 43.6% 43.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 39.0
2 Point Shooting % 50.4% 49.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 24.5 22.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 12.7 17.0
Free Throws Attempted 16.4 24.0
Free Throw % 77.8% 71.0%
Ball Control CLEM ARIZ
Rebounds 34.4 40.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 29.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 11.3
Turnovers 10.0 9.1
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.6
Steals 4.6 6.7
Fouls 16.0 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Clemson

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLEM ARIZ
Total Possessions 73.9
Effective Scoring Chances 71.2 76.1
% of Possessions with CLEM ARIZ
2 Point Attempt 44.8% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 26.1%
Player Fouled 19.3% 21.7%
Turnover 13.5% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLEM ARIZ
Shot Blocked 4.3% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 19.9% 29.3%