NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLEM NCST
Points 73.7 70.1
Total Points   143.8
Points From 2-Pointers 36.2 34.3
Points From 3-Pointers 23.3 20.6
Points From Free Throws 14.3 15.2
Shooting CLEM NCST
Field Goals Made 25.8 24.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 59.4
Field Goal % 44.9% 40.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.9 38.1
2 Point Shooting % 51.8% 45.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 32.4%
Free Throws Made 14.3 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 20.9
Free Throw % 77.8% 72.6%
Ball Control CLEM NCST
Rebounds 37.9 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 29.6 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 8.9
Turnovers 9.6 7.2
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.5
Steals 3.3 6.0
Fouls 14.3 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Clemson

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLEM NCST
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 71.6
% of Possessions with CLEM NCST
2 Point Attempt 44.0% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.5% 26.5%
Player Fouled 19.9% 20.5%
Turnover 13.7% 10.3%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 4.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLEM NCST
Shot Blocked 4.3% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 23.1%