NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSF LBSU
Points 69.1 72.8
Total Points   141.9
Points From 2-Pointers 28.8 39.8
Points From 3-Pointers 25.8 15.8
Points From Free Throws 14.5 17.2
Shooting CSF LBSU
Field Goals Made 23.0 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 55.9 58.4
Field Goal % 41.2% 43.1%
2 Pointers Made 14.4 19.9
2 Pointers Attempted 31.7 40.5
2 Point Shooting % 45.5% 49.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 24.2 17.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 29.4%
Free Throws Made 14.5 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 24.1
Free Throw % 71.1% 71.5%
Ball Control CSF LBSU
Rebounds 32.9 40.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 12.1
Turnovers 11.7 10.4
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.7
Steals 5.9 6.3
Fouls 17.7 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Lg Beach St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSF LBSU
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.0 73.6
% of Possessions with CSF LBSU
2 Point Attempt 39.1% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 21.0%
Player Fouled 21.6% 24.7%
Turnover 16.2% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSF LBSU
Shot Blocked 6.4% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 32.5%