NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DETU CHAR
Points 60.7 76.3
Total Points   137.0
Points From 2-Pointers 33.9 40.1
Points From 3-Pointers 14.9 20.3
Points From Free Throws 11.9 15.9
Shooting DETU CHAR
Field Goals Made 21.9 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 54.2 52.0
Field Goal % 40.4% 51.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 32.3
2 Point Shooting % 48.3% 62.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.0 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 26.0% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 11.9 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 16.0 21.2
Free Throw % 74.1% 75.2%
Ball Control DETU CHAR
Rebounds 27.9 34.8
Rebounds - Defensive 19.7 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 8.6
Turnovers 10.3 9.4
Blocked Shots 1.8 3.0
Steals 5.9 4.6
Fouls 16.2 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DETU CHAR
Total Possessions 66.1
Effective Scoring Chances 64.0 65.3
% of Possessions with DETU CHAR
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 25.3% 26.2%
Player Fouled 21.0% 24.5%
Turnover 15.6% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken DETU CHAR
Shot Blocked 5.8% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 30.4%