NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DETU RMU
Points 70.5 76.9
Total Points   147.4
Points From 2-Pointers 38.2 37.0
Points From 3-Pointers 17.1 28.2
Points From Free Throws 15.2 11.7
Shooting DETU RMU
Field Goals Made 24.8 27.9
Field Goals Attempted 55.5 60.7
Field Goal % 44.7% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.1 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 36.2 34.5
2 Point Shooting % 52.8% 53.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 9.4
3 Pointers Attempted 19.3 26.3
3 Point Shooting % 29.5% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 15.2 11.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 16.8
Free Throw % 74.1% 69.8%
Ball Control DETU RMU
Rebounds 29.9 39.4
Rebounds - Defensive 21.8 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 14.0
Turnovers 10.7 12.1
Blocked Shots 1.9 2.7
Steals 6.7 4.2
Fouls 13.5 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DETU RMU
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.0 72.5
% of Possessions with DETU RMU
2 Point Attempt 45.3% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.2% 30.8%
Player Fouled 22.7% 19.1%
Turnover 15.2% 17.1%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken DETU RMU
Shot Blocked 4.5% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 39.0%