NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSF WYO
Points 68.1 71.5
Total Points   139.7
Points From 2-Pointers 34.7 31.7
Points From 3-Pointers 20.7 22.5
Points From Free Throws 12.7 17.4
Shooting CSF WYO
Field Goals Made 24.2 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 54.9 52.5
Field Goal % 44.2% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 15.9
2 Pointers Attempted 33.8 31.1
2 Point Shooting % 51.3% 51.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 21.0 21.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 12.7 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 23.1
Free Throw % 71.1% 75.2%
Ball Control CSF WYO
Rebounds 31.5 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 8.5
Turnovers 10.2 10.6
Blocked Shots 3.6 1.9
Steals 6.7 4.6
Fouls 18.3 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Wyoming

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSF WYO
Total Possessions 68.4
Effective Scoring Chances 66.0 66.4
% of Possessions with CSF WYO
2 Point Attempt 43.9% 39.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 27.4%
Player Fouled 21.1% 26.8%
Turnover 15.0% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSF WYO
Shot Blocked 3.8% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.4% 26.5%