NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSF UCRV
Points 70.0 68.1
Total Points   138.1
Points From 2-Pointers 36.4 29.9
Points From 3-Pointers 18.8 24.8
Points From Free Throws 14.8 13.5
Shooting CSF UCRV
Field Goals Made 24.5 23.2
Field Goals Attempted 51.8 58.8
Field Goal % 47.2% 39.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 15.0
2 Pointers Attempted 33.6 32.3
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 46.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 18.2 26.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 31.1%
Free Throws Made 14.8 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 18.9
Free Throw % 71.1% 71.1%
Ball Control CSF UCRV
Rebounds 34.1 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 6.3 10.7
Turnovers 10.1 8.8
Blocked Shots 2.9 1.1
Steals 4.2 4.8
Fouls 15.5 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: CS Fullerton

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSF UCRV
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 64.7 70.4
% of Possessions with CSF UCRV
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 40.2%
3 Point Attempt 24.2% 33.0%
Player Fouled 23.9% 22.6%
Turnover 14.7% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSF UCRV
Shot Blocked 2.0% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 20.2% 27.8%