NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DETU WIGB
Points 68.0 76.6
Total Points   144.7
Points From 2-Pointers 38.7 35.6
Points From 3-Pointers 15.2 28.7
Points From Free Throws 14.2 12.3
Shooting DETU WIGB
Field Goals Made 24.4 27.4
Field Goals Attempted 54.2 54.8
Field Goal % 45.0% 49.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.3 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 35.0 28.5
2 Point Shooting % 55.3% 62.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 26.4
3 Point Shooting % 26.3% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 14.2 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 17.2
Free Throw % 74.1% 71.5%
Ball Control DETU WIGB
Rebounds 29.0 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 21.4 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 8.8
Turnovers 9.5 11.1
Blocked Shots 3.0 1.8
Steals 6.3 3.7
Fouls 15.2 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DETU WIGB
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.0 65.6
% of Possessions with DETU WIGB
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 36.6%
3 Point Attempt 25.2% 33.8%
Player Fouled 23.5% 22.4%
Turnover 13.9% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken DETU WIGB
Shot Blocked 3.3% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 29.1%