NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DETU CLEM
Points 58.3 87.6
Total Points   145.9
Points From 2-Pointers 28.1 45.1
Points From 3-Pointers 17.7 26.4
Points From Free Throws 12.5 16.1
Shooting DETU CLEM
Field Goals Made 20.0 31.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.2 57.3
Field Goal % 35.5% 54.7%
2 Pointers Made 14.1 22.5
2 Pointers Attempted 33.0 34.9
2 Point Shooting % 42.6% 64.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 23.2 22.4
3 Point Shooting % 25.5% 39.3%
Free Throws Made 12.5 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 16.8 20.7
Free Throw % 74.1% 77.8%
Ball Control DETU CLEM
Rebounds 26.3 40.8
Rebounds - Defensive 19.1 31.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 9.6
Turnovers 10.6 8.9
Blocked Shots 1.4 3.4
Steals 5.6 4.3
Fouls 15.8 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DETU CLEM
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 66.2 70.4
% of Possessions with DETU CLEM
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.7% 28.1%
Player Fouled 20.2% 22.6%
Turnover 15.2% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken DETU CLEM
Shot Blocked 6.0% 2.5%
Offensive Rebound 18.7% 33.5%