NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STT DRKE
Points 67.1 76.7
Total Points   143.8
Points From 2-Pointers 30.8 39.5
Points From 3-Pointers 24.8 24.0
Points From Free Throws 11.5 13.3
Shooting STT DRKE
Field Goals Made 23.7 27.7
Field Goals Attempted 53.0 53.6
Field Goal % 44.7% 51.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 28.4 32.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 60.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 24.5 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 11.5 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.0 17.7
Free Throw % 71.9% 74.8%
Ball Control STT DRKE
Rebounds 28.1 32.3
Rebounds - Defensive 22.5 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 5.6 6.0
Turnovers 10.2 9.0
Blocked Shots 1.4 1.5
Steals 5.0 5.3
Fouls 15.7 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: St. Thomas

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STT DRKE
Total Possessions 67.4
Effective Scoring Chances 62.8 64.5
% of Possessions with STT DRKE
2 Point Attempt 38.6% 44.2%
3 Point Attempt 33.3% 28.2%
Player Fouled 22.2% 23.3%
Turnover 15.1% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken STT DRKE
Shot Blocked 2.8% 2.6%
Offensive Rebound 17.6% 21.1%