NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STT UTAH
Points 66.6 78.2
Total Points   144.8
Points From 2-Pointers 29.4 40.9
Points From 3-Pointers 27.1 27.5
Points From Free Throws 10.1 9.7
Shooting STT UTAH
Field Goals Made 23.7 29.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.5 56.0
Field Goal % 40.6% 52.9%
2 Pointers Made 14.7 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 31.1 32.9
2 Point Shooting % 47.3% 62.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 27.4 23.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 39.7%
Free Throws Made 10.1 9.7
Free Throws Attempted 14.0 15.4
Free Throw % 71.9% 63.4%
Ball Control STT UTAH
Rebounds 28.5 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 22.3 30.3
Rebounds - Offensive 6.2 7.4
Turnovers 8.5 10.3
Blocked Shots 1.5 3.8
Steals 5.3 4.8
Fouls 15.2 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: St. Thomas

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STT UTAH
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 65.7
% of Possessions with STT UTAH
2 Point Attempt 40.7% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 35.9% 30.2%
Player Fouled 20.0% 22.1%
Turnover 12.4% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken STT UTAH
Shot Blocked 6.8% 2.7%
Offensive Rebound 17.0% 25.0%