NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring USD COLO
Points 68.2 85.5
Total Points   153.6
Points From 2-Pointers 37.9 44.1
Points From 3-Pointers 18.6 20.8
Points From Free Throws 11.7 20.5
Shooting USD COLO
Field Goals Made 25.1 29.0
Field Goals Attempted 59.4 54.1
Field Goal % 42.3% 53.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 22.1
2 Pointers Attempted 39.6 36.7
2 Point Shooting % 47.8% 60.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 17.4
3 Point Shooting % 31.4% 39.7%
Free Throws Made 11.7 20.5
Free Throws Attempted 16.2 27.0
Free Throw % 72.1% 76.0%
Ball Control USD COLO
Rebounds 26.9 38.5
Rebounds - Defensive 19.2 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 9.5
Turnovers 11.5 12.3
Blocked Shots 3.9 2.5
Steals 7.2 7.0
Fouls 18.7 12.7

Playing Style Advantage: San Diego

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USD COLO
Total Possessions 73.2
Effective Scoring Chances 69.4 70.5
% of Possessions with USD COLO
2 Point Attempt 48.4% 43.5%
3 Point Attempt 24.1% 20.7%
Player Fouled 17.3% 25.6%
Turnover 15.7% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken USD COLO
Shot Blocked 4.7% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 21.1% 33.3%