NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTECH USU
Points 65.8 83.7
Total Points   149.5
Points From 2-Pointers 34.7 42.1
Points From 3-Pointers 17.5 19.5
Points From Free Throws 13.5 22.0
Shooting UTECH USU
Field Goals Made 23.2 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 54.6
Field Goal % 41.0% 50.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 21.1
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 47.4% 58.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 19.9 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 29.3% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 13.5 22.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 30.4
Free Throw % 63.3% 72.5%
Ball Control UTECH USU
Rebounds 31.5 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 29.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 9.0
Turnovers 13.5 10.3
Blocked Shots 2.4 4.4
Steals 5.4 7.9
Fouls 20.4 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Utah Tech

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTECH USU
Total Possessions 74.4
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 73.1
% of Possessions with UTECH USU
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 23.5% 22.3%
Player Fouled 22.5% 27.4%
Turnover 18.1% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 10.6% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTECH USU
Shot Blocked 8.2% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 28.1%