NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CWM STAN
Points 65.9 82.9
Total Points   148.8
Points From 2-Pointers 27.4 43.9
Points From 3-Pointers 28.5 24.8
Points From Free Throws 10.0 14.1
Shooting CWM STAN
Field Goals Made 23.2 30.2
Field Goals Attempted 61.0 55.6
Field Goal % 38.1% 54.4%
2 Pointers Made 13.7 22.0
2 Pointers Attempted 30.6 34.0
2 Point Shooting % 44.8% 64.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.5 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 30.3 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.4% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 10.0 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 14.7 19.1
Free Throw % 67.7% 73.9%
Ball Control CWM STAN
Rebounds 30.4 37.9
Rebounds - Defensive 21.5 31.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 6.9
Turnovers 9.9 9.9
Blocked Shots 1.2 4.2
Steals 4.8 5.0
Fouls 15.9 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: Wm & Mary

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CWM STAN
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 67.5
% of Possessions with CWM STAN
2 Point Attempt 37.8% 43.6%
3 Point Attempt 37.4% 27.7%
Player Fouled 17.9% 22.5%
Turnover 14.1% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken CWM STAN
Shot Blocked 7.6% 2.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 24.3%