NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CWM DEL
Points 65.6 75.3
Total Points   141.0
Points From 2-Pointers 32.4 43.3
Points From 3-Pointers 22.2 18.2
Points From Free Throws 11.0 13.8
Shooting CWM DEL
Field Goals Made 23.6 27.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.5 54.3
Field Goal % 40.4% 51.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 21.6
2 Pointers Attempted 32.7 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 49.7% 60.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 25.9 18.6
3 Point Shooting % 28.6% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 11.0 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 16.2 19.6
Free Throw % 67.7% 70.4%
Ball Control CWM DEL
Rebounds 31.8 35.7
Rebounds - Defensive 22.5 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 7.4
Turnovers 8.7 8.8
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.4
Steals 4.7 4.6
Fouls 15.0 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: Delaware

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CWM DEL
Total Possessions 67.5
Effective Scoring Chances 68.2 66.2
% of Possessions with CWM DEL
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 33.1% 24.5%
Player Fouled 19.4% 22.3%
Turnover 12.8% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken CWM DEL
Shot Blocked 6.4% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 24.8%