NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CWM ELON
Points 71.2 71.9
Total Points   143.1
Points From 2-Pointers 30.8 33.8
Points From 3-Pointers 29.0 23.9
Points From Free Throws 11.5 14.2
Shooting CWM ELON
Field Goals Made 25.0 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 53.6
Field Goal % 42.8% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 28.5 30.9
2 Point Shooting % 53.9% 54.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.7 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 29.9 22.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 11.5 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 20.6
Free Throw % 67.7% 68.8%
Ball Control CWM ELON
Rebounds 35.0 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 9.0
Turnovers 9.3 9.4
Blocked Shots 1.9 2.7
Steals 4.5 5.3
Fouls 15.4 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Wm & Mary

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CWM ELON
Total Possessions 67.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 66.5
% of Possessions with CWM ELON
2 Point Attempt 35.9% 40.2%
3 Point Attempt 37.6% 29.7%
Player Fouled 20.1% 23.0%
Turnover 13.8% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CWM ELON
Shot Blocked 5.1% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 31.4% 27.5%