NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CWM HAMP
Points 70.5 69.1
Total Points   139.6
Points From 2-Pointers 30.6 37.0
Points From 3-Pointers 27.5 18.4
Points From Free Throws 12.3 13.7
Shooting CWM HAMP
Field Goals Made 24.5 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 61.4 56.8
Field Goal % 39.9% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.3 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 31.5 36.6
2 Point Shooting % 48.6% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 29.9 20.2
3 Point Shooting % 30.8% 30.4%
Free Throws Made 12.3 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 18.9
Free Throw % 67.7% 72.7%
Ball Control CWM HAMP
Rebounds 38.1 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 8.9
Turnovers 8.7 9.4
Blocked Shots 1.9 4.3
Steals 5.0 4.5
Fouls 14.8 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Hampton

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CWM HAMP
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 72.2 68.6
% of Possessions with CWM HAMP
2 Point Attempt 38.2% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 36.1% 25.6%
Player Fouled 19.8% 21.4%
Turnover 12.6% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken CWM HAMP
Shot Blocked 7.7% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 29.8% 25.4%