NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CWM OKLA
Points 60.6 82.1
Total Points   142.7
Points From 2-Pointers 27.5 42.7
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 21.7
Points From Free Throws 11.7 17.7
Shooting CWM OKLA
Field Goals Made 20.9 28.6
Field Goals Attempted 56.2 53.2
Field Goal % 37.1% 53.8%
2 Pointers Made 13.7 21.3
2 Pointers Attempted 30.0 33.4
2 Point Shooting % 45.8% 63.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 26.3 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 27.2% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 11.7 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 24.1
Free Throw % 67.7% 73.5%
Ball Control CWM OKLA
Rebounds 27.7 38.8
Rebounds - Defensive 19.5 29.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 8.9
Turnovers 9.8 8.7
Blocked Shots 1.6 4.1
Steals 4.6 5.0
Fouls 17.1 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CWM OKLA
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 68.1
% of Possessions with CWM OKLA
2 Point Attempt 38.6% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 33.8% 25.5%
Player Fouled 20.8% 25.2%
Turnover 14.4% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CWM OKLA
Shot Blocked 7.7% 2.9%
Offensive Rebound 21.4% 31.2%