NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCSD UCRV
Points 78.8 72.1
Total Points   150.8
Points From 2-Pointers 40.1 34.1
Points From 3-Pointers 24.9 26.8
Points From Free Throws 13.7 11.2
Shooting UCSD UCRV
Field Goals Made 28.4 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 56.4 60.2
Field Goal % 50.3% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 34.4
2 Point Shooting % 59.0% 49.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 22.4 25.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 13.7 11.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 15.7
Free Throw % 74.1% 71.1%
Ball Control UCSD UCRV
Rebounds 34.7 32.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.6 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 9.0
Turnovers 8.0 8.0
Blocked Shots 2.5 1.4
Steals 3.8 3.7
Fouls 14.2 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: UCSD

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCSD UCRV
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 67.8 69.7
% of Possessions with UCSD UCRV
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 32.7%
Player Fouled 22.6% 20.7%
Turnover 11.7% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCSD UCRV
Shot Blocked 2.4% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 24.6%