NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCSD CSF
Points 72.1 68.2
Total Points   140.4
Points From 2-Pointers 32.7 34.8
Points From 3-Pointers 25.1 20.6
Points From Free Throws 14.4 12.8
Shooting UCSD CSF
Field Goals Made 24.7 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 53.4
Field Goal % 43.7% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 31.3 33.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 25.3 20.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 14.4 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 18.0
Free Throw % 74.1% 71.1%
Ball Control UCSD CSF
Rebounds 34.6 32.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 6.5
Turnovers 8.7 10.1
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.4
Steals 5.1 4.4
Fouls 15.4 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: CS Fullerton

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCSD CSF
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 64.4
% of Possessions with UCSD CSF
2 Point Attempt 40.1% 44.3%
3 Point Attempt 32.3% 26.6%
Player Fouled 23.4% 22.6%
Turnover 12.9% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCSD CSF
Shot Blocked 6.4% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 20.3%